QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 8 ноября 2020

Опубликовано: 2020 Nov 07 1244 UTC

SIDC URSIGRAM 01107
Состояние солнечной активности на 07 Nov 2020, 1243UT
Прогноз сделан для периода с 1230UT, 07 Nov 2020 до 09 Nov 2020)
SOLAR FLARES : C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Протонные вспышки: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 07 Nov 2020: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 094, A-индекс: 006
Прогноз на 08 Nov 2020: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 094, A-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 09 Nov 2020: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 094, A-индекс: 007

Комментарий (на английском языке): The sunspot region (Catania sunspot group 50, NOAA-AR 2781) has continued to show some flaring activities, including a C1.8-class flare peaking at 06:16 UTC on November 7. The flaring activity is expected to continue with C-class flare coming from NOAA-AR 2781, and with a small chance of M-class flare. Erratum: The Ursigram issued on November 06 mentioned a "C9.0-class flare peaking at 21:56 UTC on November 5". This was incorrect, the biggest flare for that period was a C2.8-class flare peaking at 00:05 UTC on November 6. The biggest flare for that specific region remained so far the C7.3-class flare peaking at 00:22 UTC on November 5. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections was observed in the available coronagraphic imagery in the last 24 hours. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to stay at background levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electrons flux remained just below the 10^3 pfu threshold. The electrons flux may cross slightly be above the 10^3 pfu during the next 24 hours. The Earth continued to be under the influence of the solar wind streams affected by the presence of the south polar coronal hole (negative polarity). The solar wind parameters (DSCOVR) showed slightly enhanced values, with the solar wind speed around 500 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field reaching 7.9 nT, and the Bz magnetic field components fluctuating between -4.3 nT and 7.0 nT. The solar wind parameters are expected to remain slightly enhanced today due to the influence of the solar wind coming from the south coronal hole. Geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet. In response to the slight enhanced solar wind parameters one period of unsettled conditions was also observed in Kp-NOAA index (15:00-18:00 UTC on November 6) and several periods of unsettled conditions were observed in K-Dourbes index. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet with possible periods of unsettled conditions.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 034,
получено на основе анализа результатов 16 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 06 Nov 2020
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 044
Плотность потока излучения: 094
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 014
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 009
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 008
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 036,
получено на основе анализа результатов 29 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES

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