QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 7 мая 2022

Опубликовано: 2022 May 06 1313 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 20506
Состояние солнечной активности на 06 May 2022, 1310UT
Прогноз сделан для периода с 1230UT, 06 May 2022 до 08 May 2022)
SOLAR FLARES : M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 06 May 2022: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 125, A-индекс: 005
Прогноз на 07 May 2022: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 130, A-индекс: 012
Прогноз на 08 May 2022: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 132, A-индекс: 010
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours. Two M flares, M2.2 and M2.7, were observed at the peak times of 13:16 and 14:10 UT. The M2.2 flare originated from NOAA Active Region (AR) 3004 and the M2.7 from NOAA AR 3006. NOAA AR 3004 remains the most complex region on the disk. The rest of the regions were relatively quiet and stable. The flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels with C-class flares expected, M-class flares probable and X-class flares possible. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the available coronagraph data. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so with a small chance of a proton event associated to with NOAA AR 3004. The greater than 2MeV electron flux exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to exceed threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal to moderate levels and is expected to be at normal to moderate levels over the next 24 hours. The solar wind conditions reflected an ambient solar wind regime. The solar wind speed (as recorded by ACE) ranged between 320 to near 450 km/s. The total magnetic field magnitude fluctuated around 5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind speed is expected to reflect a slow solar wind regime on May 06, with a weak enhancement possible on May 07 to May 08 due to a glancing blow from a CME associated with a dimming observed on May 03. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (NOAA KP 0-1 and Local K-Bel 0-3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet on May 06. With unsettled to active conditions possible on May 07 to May 08, due to the possible glancing blow of a CME.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 079,
получено на основе анализа результатов 18 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 05 May 2022
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 094
Плотность потока излучения: 120
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 007
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 004
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 003
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 074,
получено на основе анализа результатов 28 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
05 1308 1316 1322 S16W24 M2.2 SN 96/3004
05 1402 1410 1414 S29E64 M2.7 SF 99/3006