QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 17 августа 2025

Опубликовано: 16 августа 2025 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 50816
Состояние солнечной активности на 16 августа 2025, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
SOLAR FLARES : C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 16 августа 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 120 / AP-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 17 августа 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 120 / AP-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 18 августа 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 120 / AP-индекс: 013
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. A total of 9 numbered sunspot groups were observed on the solar disk. Several of the SIDC Sunspot Groups have Alpha magnetic configurations and did not produce any flaring activity. The most productive region was SIDC Sunspot Group 590 (NOAA Active Region 4172), currently located at N09W78, which has a Beta magnetic configuration and was decreasing over the past 24 hours. This region produced the largest flare, a C7.7 flare (SIDC Flare 5156), peaking on August 15 at 21:22 UTC. Solar flaring activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares very likely. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed over the past 24 hours. Only a very small number of minor CMEs were detected, none of which are expected to impact Earth. Moreover there are few large filaments visible on the disc, however they appear the remain stable. Coronal holes: The recurring SIDC Coronal Hole 104 (polar-south, positive polarity) reached the central meridian on August 14. The SIDC Coronal Hole 116, a mid-latitude coronal hole with negative polarity, first reached the central meridian on August 15, continues its transit across the central meridian. Solar wind: Solar wind parameters indicate a return to a slow solar wind regime. Solar wind speed varied between 340 and 450 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) remained around 5 nT, and the southward interplanetary magnetic field (Bz) component fluctuated between -4.0 nT and 3.6 nT. The high-speed streams associated with SIDC Coronal Hole 116, a mid-latitude coronal hole with negative polarity now facing Earth, are forecast to influence solar wind conditions on August 18-19. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic activity was quiet over the past 24 hours, with NOAA Kp indices between 1 and 2, and the Belgian K-index also between 1 and 2. In response to the expected arrival of high-speed streams associated with SIDC Coronal Hole 116, minor geomagnetic disturbances or active conditions are possible on August 18-19. Proton flux levels: Proton flux remained below 10 pfu over the past 24 hours. A slight enhancement cannot be fully excluded due to the number of sunspot groups on the solar disk but is considered unlikely. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 remains above the 1000 pfu threshold in response to high-speed streams associated with SIDC Coronal Hole 123 observed over the past days. Electron flux levels are expected to fluctuate around the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence remains at moderate levels and is expected to return to normal levels over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 129,
получено на основе анализа результатов 08 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 15 Aug 2025
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 123
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 012
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 010
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 010
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 144,
получено на основе анализа результатов 25 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
Не зарегистрировано