QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 3 ноября 2025

Опубликовано: 02 ноября 2025 в 1232 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 51102
Состояние солнечной активности на 02 ноября 2025, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Возмущенное (A>=20, K=4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 02 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 115 / AP-индекс: 016
Прогноз на 03 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 117 / AP-индекс: 013
Прогноз на 04 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 119 / AP-индекс: 007
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: A total of 2 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Solar flaring activity was moderate with an M1.0 flare (SIDC Flare 5889), peaking on November 02 at 00:26 UTC, originating from a sunspot group rotating into view over the east limb (located close to the equator). There are 3 new sunspot groups rotating into view that have been very active in the last days in terms of flares and CMEs. Therefore, solar activity is likely to increase in the next 24 hours, M-class flares can be expected. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in the last 24 hours. Coronal holes: There are two coronal holes in the western hemisphere, both with positive polarity: SIDC Coronal Hole 123 (southern hemisphere) and SIDC Coronal Hole 129 (northern hemisphere). Solar wind: The Earth was under the influence of high speed solar wind from SIDC Coronal Hole 123 (southern hemisphere, positive polarity) and 129 (northern hemisphere, positive polarity). The solar wind speed reached 600 km/s, it is now at 550 km/s with an interplanetary magnetic field of 7 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Additionally, there is a possible arrival of the SIDC CME 590 expected (around 3 November, 12:00 UTC). Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels (K_Bel up to 4 and Kp up to 4.33 or 4+). In the next 24 hours, similar conditions can be expected. The possible arrival of the SIDC CME 590 on 3 November may enhance the geomagnetic levels. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was above the 1000 pfu threshold after 12:00 UTC on 31 October. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain above the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels, it is expected to remain at moderate levels over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 043,
получено на основе анализа результатов 12 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 01 Nov 2025
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 115
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 026
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 014
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 014
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 020,
получено на основе анализа результатов 11 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
02 0013 0026 0037 ////// M1.0 ///////