QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 5 ноября 2025

Опубликовано: 04 ноября 2025 в 1237 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 51104
Состояние солнечной активности на 04 ноября 2025, 1236UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 04 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 137 / AP-индекс: 008
Прогноз на 05 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 143 / AP-индекс: 014
Прогноз на 06 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 150 / AP-индекс: 025
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 4 M-class flares identified. The largest flare was a M3.5 flare (SIDC Flare 5914) peaking on November 04 at 01:48 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274). A total of 5 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274) is the largest and most magnetically complex (Beta-Gamma) region on disk and produced most of the flaring activity in the last 24 hours Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and a small chance for X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: Further analysis of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) seen in LASCO-C2 data around 09:48 UTC on November 03 and associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 687 show a likely chance for a glancing blow arrival at Earth expected around 14:00 UTC on November 05. A second CME also associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 687 was seen in LASCO-C2 data around 00:52 UTC on November 04. Analysis of this second CME is ongoing. Coronal holes: A recurring large coronal hole, SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (equatorial coronal hole with a negative polarity), which first reached the central meridian on November 03 is continuing to cross the central meridian. It’s associated high-speed stream is expected to arrive at Earth on November 06 (Other crossing times: October 08, September 10, August 15, July 20, June 22, May 26). Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours slow solar wind conditions were recorded. The solar wind speed ranged from 390 km/s to 490 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field ranged from 7 to 9 nT, with the Bz reaching a minimum of -7 nT. The phi-angle was mainly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun), with periods in the negative sector. Quite solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. Geomagnetism: The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours reached active conditions globally and locally (Kp 4 & K BEL 4). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 fluctuated around the 1000 pfu threshold in the last 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue fluctuate around the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels, it is expected to remain at moderate levels over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 085,
получено на основе анализа результатов 19 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 03 Nov 2025
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 088
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 133
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 026
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 020
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 022
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 071,
получено на основе анализа результатов 17 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
03 1219 1235 1237 ////// M2.9 ///4274 VI/2IV/1
03 1704 1708 1710 N26E69 M1.5 SF ///4274
04 0131 0148 0204 ////// M3.5 89/4274 III/2CTM/2
03 1237 1247 1251 ////// M3.3 ///4274