QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 8 ноября 2025

Опубликовано: 07 ноября 2025 в 1243 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 51107
Состояние солнечной активности на 07 ноября 2025, 1242UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: : Moderate (ISES: Major) magstorm expected (A>=50 or K=6)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 07 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 172 / AP-индекс: 027
Прогноз на 08 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 178 / AP-индекс: 026
Прогноз на 09 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 182 / AP-индекс: 010
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 1 M-class flare identified. The largest flare was an M1.7 flare (SIDC Flare 5971) peaking on November 07 at 07:16 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274). A total of 7 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274) is the largest region on disk. Both SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274) and SIDC Sunspot Group 689 (NOAA Active Region 4276) are the most magnetically complex (Beta-Gamma-Delta) regions on disk and produced most of the flaring activity in the last 24 hours. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and a small chance for X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: A halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) (SIDC CME 596) was detected in SOHO/LASCO-C2 data around 07:36 UTC on November 07. This CME is associated with a M1.76 flare (SIDC flare 5971) peaking on November 07 at 14:00 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274) and a type IV radio burst. Analysis of this CME is ongoing. Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours, the Earth was under the waning influence of an ICME and came under the influence of a second ICME associated with a CME (SIDC CME 593) that left the Sun on November 04. The solar wind speed started the reporting period around 530 km/s, gradually increased and then jumped from 665 km/s to 811 km/s at 04:50 UT on November 07. The total interplanetary magnetic started the reporting period around 6 nT, gradually increased and then jumped from 8 to 17 nT at the same time. The Bz component reaching a minimum of -16 nT in the last 24 hours. The phi-angle was mainly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun), with periods in the positive sector. In the next 24 hours, the solar wind conditions are expected to remain disturbed due to the possible arrival of a CME (SIDC CME 594) that left the Sun on November 05. Geomagnetism: The geomagnetic conditions reached minor storm conditions (Kp 5) globally and active condtions (K BEL 4) locally. Moderate to major storm conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at background levels and is expected to remain at background levels over the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-18 and GOES-19 satellites, were below the 1000 pfu threshold in the last 24 hours. The 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hour. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain at normal levels over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 130,
получено на основе анализа результатов 14 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 06 Nov 2025
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 122
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 163
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 044
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 038
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 046
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 112,
получено на основе анализа результатов 22 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
07 0631 0716 0753 N23E28 M1.7 1N 89/4274 VI/2