QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 30 ноября 2025

Опубликовано: 29 ноября 2025 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 51129
Состояние солнечной активности на 29 ноября 2025, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 29 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 157 / AP-индекс: 010
Прогноз на 30 ноября 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 165 / AP-индекс: 010
Прогноз на 01 декабря 2025: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 170 / AP-индекс: 008
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was high over the past 24 hours, with 3 M-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group (SG) 709 (NOAA Active Region 4294, Beta magnetic configuration) emitted all the M-class and all but one of the C-class flaring activity of the past 24 hours, although it remains partially obscured by the eastern solar limb. The M-class flares of the past 24 hours were SIDC flares 6228 (an M5.9 on 28 Nov at 22:22 UTC), 6230 (an M1.6 on 29 Nov at 00:02), and 6232 (an M1.5 on 29 Nov at 04:20 UTC). SIDC SG 709 is expected to increase its activity in the next 24 hours as a larger portion of it will become visible from L1. M-class flares are expected and there is still a small chance of an X-class flare. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours. Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours, solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) continued to reflect the waning influence of a high-speed stream (HSS). The solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 680 km/s to 600 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) varied between 3 and 7 nT and its North- South component (Bz) fluctuated between -6 and 5 nT. The SW speed is expected to continue its slow decline and the magnetic field is expected continue at similar levels in the next 24 hours. Geomagnetism: The global geomagnetic conditions fluctuated between unsettled and active values (NOAA Kp 3- to 4) over the past 24 hours. During the same period the local conditions registered quiet and unsettled values (K BEL 2 to 3). A similar pattern is expected in the next 24 hours, both for the global and local conditions. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours. Nevertheless there is a small chance that a proton event, associated with SIDC SG 709, might occur during the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-19, was above the 1000 pfu threshold during the past 24 hours with a peak value of 15000 pfu on 29 Nov at 04:30 UTC. The electron flux is expected to feature a further increase over the next day. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels during the past 24 hours. It is expected to increase further in the next 24 hours and reach high levels.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 089,
получено на основе анализа результатов 09 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 28 Nov 2025
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 108
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 138
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 029
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 021
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 024
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 085,
получено на основе анализа результатов 17 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
28 2211 2222 2224 ////// M5.9 ///4294 II/2
28 2352 0002 0007 ////// M1.6 ///4294
29 0414 0420 0422 ////// M1.5 17/4294