QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 3 февраля 2026

Опубликовано: 02 февраля 2026 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 60202
Состояние солнечной активности на 02 февраля 2026, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 02 февраля 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 162 / AP-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 03 февраля 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 164 / AP-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 04 февраля 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 166 / AP-индекс: 035
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: A total of 8 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Solar flaring activity was very high over the past 24 hours, with 5 X-class flares and 16 M-class flares identified. They originated from SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366), currently located at N13E34. It has a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration and was growing over the past 24 hours. The first X-class flare was an X1.0 one (SIDC Flare 6796) peaking on February 01 at 12:33 UTC. The second one and largest, was an X8.1 one (SIDC Flare 6808), peaked on February 01 at 23:57 UTC, two more followed shortly after (X1.5 at 00:22 UTC and X2.8 at 00:36 UTC, February 2). The last X-class flare occurred at 08:14 UTC on February 2, with a peak at X1.6. Solar flaring activity is expected to be high over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and more X-class flares possible. Coronal mass ejections: A partial halo CME was observed at 00:48 UTC on February 2 by LASCO C2, directed to the northeast, associated with the X8.1 flare peaking at 23:57 UTC on February 1, and a large EUV wave. The CME has an angular width of about 150 degrees, with an Earth directed component. A preliminary speed derived from the available data is around 700 km/s, giving an expected arrival time on the second half of February 4 (this will be updated when more data becomes available and EUHFORIA simulations results are obtained). There is still no coronagraph data corresponding to the last X-flare, so another associated CME cannot be discarded. Solar wind: The Earth is within a slow solar wind stream. The solar wind speed is around 300 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Simmilar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled in the last 24 hours (Kp up to 3 and K_BEL up to 2). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold int he last 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 has been above the 1000 pfu threshold for most of the last 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to slowly return to low levels in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to go to normal levels over the next days.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 128,
получено на основе анализа результатов 08 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 01 Feb 2026
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 162
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 009
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 006
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 004
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 104,
получено на основе анализа результатов 15 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
01 1152 1212 1220 ////// M6.7 ///4366
01 1225 1233 1237 ////// X1.0 ///4366
01 1244 1250 1256 ////// M5.8 ///4366
01 1418 1425 1429 ////// M1.5 ///4366
01 1537 1548 1557 ////// M1.5 ///4366
01 1557 1605 1616 ////// M5.1 ///4366
01 1732 1735 1740 ////// M1.1 ///4366
01 1743 1758 1815 ////// M2.5 ///4366
01 1815 1819 1822 ////// M2.1 ///4366
01 1848 1856 1902 ////// M1.9 ///4366
01 1912 1922 1934 ////// M1.8 ///4366
01 2020 2030 2039 ////// M2.2 ///4366
01 2312 2327 2344 ////// M1.3 ///4366
01 2344 2357 0004 ////// X8.1 ///4366
02 0031 0036 0040 ////// X2.8 10/4366
02 0235 0242 0244 ////// M4.4 10/4366
02 0245 0251 0259 ////// M5.2 10/4366
02 0344 0346 0349 ////// M1.9 10/4366
02 0439 0447 0456 ////// M3.0 10/4366
02 0510 0516 0519 ////// M1.6 10/4366
02 0519 0527 0535 ////// M2.3 10/4366