QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 4 февраля 2026

Опубликовано: 03 февраля 2026 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 60203
Состояние солнечной активности на 03 февраля 2026, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 03 февраля 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 174 / AP-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 04 февраля 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 176 / AP-индекс: 007
Прогноз на 05 февраля 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 178 / AP-индекс: 026
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: A total of 8 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Numerous M-class flares were detected in the last 24 hours, produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366) currently located at N13E20. This sunspot group has a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration and was growing over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a M7.2 flare (SIDC Flare 6842) peaking on February 03 at 07:01 UTC, produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366). Solar flaring activity is expected to be high over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and X-class flares possible. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth directed CMEs have been detected in the last 24 hours. After compiling the latest observations and simulation results, the arrival time to the Earth of the CME from 2 February has been recalculated to 5 February around 6:00 UT. Solar wind: The Earth is within a slow solar wind stream. The solar wind speed is around 300 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet in the last 24 hours (Kp and K_BEL up to 2). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold in the last 24 hours and it is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 784 (NOAA Active Region 4366) will cross the central meridian after that, becoming better magnetically connected with the Earth and increasing the risk of a proton storm. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 has been above the 1000 pfu threshold for most of the last 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to slowly return to low levels in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to go to normal levels over the next hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 157,
получено на основе анализа результатов 07 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 02 Feb 2026
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 185
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 174
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 013
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 006
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 006
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 132,
получено на основе анализа результатов 12 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
02 0739 0814 0840 N14E30 X1.6 2 10/4366
02 1017 1024 1034 ////// M1.9 10/4366
02 1115 1124 1130 ////// M6.7 10/4366
02 1332 1339 1343 ////// M1.1 10/4366
02 1449 1501 1514 N13E25 M4.0 1 10/4366
02 1703 1710 1730 ////// M2.3 10/4366 CTM/2
02 1826 1829 1831 ////// M2.3 10/4366
02 1941 2005 2032 ////// M2.9 /////// III/1
02 2052 2108 2117 ////// M3.3 10/4366
02 2321 2327 2331 ////// M2.5 10/4366
03 0131 0149 0221 N12E23 M1.5 1F 10/4366
03 0413 0422 0435 N12E20 M1.7 1F 10/4366
03 0545 0555 0603 N12E16 M2.6 SN 10/4366
03 0643 0701 0719 N12E16 M7.2 1N 10/4366
03 0743 0747 0752 N12E15 M3.6 1 10/4366