QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 9 мая 2022

Опубликовано: 2022 May 08 1239 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 20508
Состояние солнечной активности на 08 May 2022, 1237UT
Прогноз сделан для периода с 1230UT, 08 May 2022 до 10 May 2022)
SOLAR FLARES : M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 08 May 2022: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 122, A-индекс: 009
Прогноз на 09 May 2022: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 124, A-индекс: 008
Прогноз на 10 May 2022: плотность потока солнечного излучения: 122, A-индекс: 007
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours. A new active region that has begun to rotate onto the solar disk over the south east limb was the most active, producing a C6.4 flare with a peak time of 03:53 UT. NOAA Active Region AR 3004 produced low level C-flares. The flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels with C-class flares expected and M-class flares remain probable. An on disk dimming was observed near the central meridian in SDO/AIA 194, visible from 02:21 UT, this event is possibly associated with a filament eruption and any possible associated Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) will be examined when the full coronagraph data become available. No other Earth- directed CMEs have been observed in the available coronagraph data. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so with a small chance of a proton event associated to possible flares from NOAA AR 3004. The greater than 2MeV electron flux oscillated around the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to again exceed that threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal to moderate levels and is expected to be at normal to moderate levels over the next 24 hours. The solar wind conditions reflected an ambient solar wind regime. The solar wind speed (as recorded by ACE) ranged between 270 and 360 km/s. The total magnetic field magnitude fluctuated around 5 nT for the first half of the period, but showed a transient feature arriving from 06:00 UT when the magnitude increased to 9 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to mostly continue to reflect an ambient slow solar wind regime for the next 48 hours. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet over the past 24 hours (NOAA Kp Local K-Bel 0-2). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet for the next 48 hours, with unsettled intervals possible in response to any further transient features.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 075,
получено на основе анализа результатов 19 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 07 May 2022
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Плотность потока излучения: 118
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 006
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 002
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 002
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 063,
получено на основе анализа результатов 21 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
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